Passive fire protection solutions market forecast to decrease by 9% during 2020
10 December 2020
DURING 2020, the passive fire protection solutions market is expected to suffer a major downturn due to COVID-19 and the accompanying adverse effects upon construction activity, the economic outlook and business confidence. For these reasons, the market is forecast to dip by 9% over the course of the year. That’s the prediction being made by AMA Research.
Prior to 2020, the market experienced a period of consistent growth, increasing in value terms by 11% between 2015 and 2019. Much of this can be attributed to a positive performance in various sectors of the non-residential construction industry, such as commercial offices, infrastructure and leisure/entertainment.
The market is expected to remain heavily dependent upon trends in construction output, especially for non-residential applications. The present Government’s intention to invest in infrastructure projects via its Getting Building Fund should provide some market impetus in the short term.
In the residential sector, new regulations are being introduced aimed at rectifying problems identified in ‘The Hackitt Report’ which followed the Grenfell Tower disaster. The Fire Safety Bill covers fire safety in residential dwellings and has created new areas of responsibility and accountability. More stringent regulations are also expected to affect the wider industry as the pressure continues to grow upon manufacturers and specifiers alike to provide safer and more fire-resistant environments.
Michelle Turner, market research analyst at AMA Research, commented: “Positive performance in key end user sectors pre-2020 helped bring a spurt of growth to the passive fire protection market. These same end user sectors are now experiencing detrimental effects as a result of COVID-19 and investment has tightened. Supported by the very need of the products found within this market, and driven by further calls for tighter legislation and stricter accountabilities as a result of Dame Judith Hackitt’s Independent Review of Building Regulations and Fire Safety, the passive fire protection market looks set to remain relatively strong as fire safety is paramount, steadying the ship in what are adverse conditions.”
Overall, the longer-term scenario for the passive fire protection market remains mixed. According to AMA Research, much of this will depend on how well the UK emerges from the various political and economic challenges posed by COVID-19, as well as what form Brexit will eventually take.
Growth is projected to return to the market after the downturn experienced in 2020. Between 2021 and 2025, market value is forecast to rise by more than 11%.